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Messages - Hairy Lime

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7231
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 16, 2019, 01:12:16 PM »
50-39 Clinton 15 months out

heh

kiidcarter8 got the pants beat off of him, so he changes the subject.

heh

Just here to learn

NBC. Clinton plus 7

Heh

NBC.  Clinton plus 4

https://www.scribd.com/document/330170543/9amET-NBCWSJ-release

If you are here to learn, don't make incorrect statements as though they are fact, particularly after you have been corrected.  Both on your general argument, and the figures you used to support it.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

10/31-11/6

Clinton +7

https://www.scribd.com/document/330243723/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-1031-11-6
That was not NBC's last poll, kid. That one had her lead.down to 4.

7232
Football / Re: College Football
« on: August 16, 2019, 01:08:51 PM »
Kinda like SUNY Brockport?
More like Pennsylvania State University University Park, to avoid confusing it with Pennsylvania State University Beaver.

7233
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 10:33:11 PM »
50-39 Clinton 15 months out

heh
I am going to go out on a limb and guess you do not understand why the dynamic that helped Trump in 2015/16 works against him this time.

7234
Baseball / Re: Major League Baseball
« on: August 15, 2019, 08:07:16 PM »
Jose Ramirez on track for a nine homer game.

7235
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 07:37:46 PM »
No matter whom the Democrats nominate for president, the message and policies of The Squad will make up the heart of the nominee's platform. This is a disaster for the Democrats and a gift to the GOP, which is fighting to reassure educated suburban voters to stick with them. Sure, they may not love Trump's behavior or rhetoric on some issues, but they'll take a good economy and secure border over socialism, higher taxes and open borders any day.


https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/19/opinions/squad-is-a-gift-to-trump-jennings/index.html

I always love to see GOP analysis that pretends the 2018 vote never happened.  Please!  Continue to ignore it.

I suppose maybe the point here is that Republicans should misrepresent the positions of their opponents on healthcare and immigration in order to win elections, but I’m pretty sure they tried that in 2018 too.
Also have to laugh at this notion that anchoring a Democratic candidate to the extreme left of their party is a consideration that is unique to that side of the aisle.

The “president” and head of your party has a roughly 42% approval rating despite that “good economy,”

Its not being reported as a good economy

And voters polled arent being totally honest, as you know.

Explained it in '16.  Explains it now
It has been reported everywhere as a good economy. Honestly reported, which means pointing out the characteristic "greatest ever" Trumpian claims are bull shit and pointing out signs of.potential weakness, as now.

Pollsters are fully aware of and account for.the Bradley effect. That is why all the major polls in 2016 had Clinton's popular vote win within the margin of error.

Average poll Clinton vs Trump had the election finishing (using margin of error) anywhere between Trump by 2.8 and Clinton by NINE POINT TWO.

NBC News (Clinton +7) had it OUTSIDE the margin of error - in favor of Clinton.

Yes, please believe the current polls
NBC had Clinton + 4 in its most immediate pre-election polling.  The largest margin she had was with Monmouth, +.6, which was within that poll's MOE, provided you understand how those work.

7236
Baseball / Re: Major League Baseball
« on: August 15, 2019, 04:54:22 PM »
I stole.signs, where I could, during my LL coaching career. We would change ours in game if we thought the other side figured them out.

7237
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 04:52:10 PM »
No matter whom the Democrats nominate for president, the message and policies of The Squad will make up the heart of the nominee's platform. This is a disaster for the Democrats and a gift to the GOP, which is fighting to reassure educated suburban voters to stick with them. Sure, they may not love Trump's behavior or rhetoric on some issues, but they'll take a good economy and secure border over socialism, higher taxes and open borders any day.


https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/19/opinions/squad-is-a-gift-to-trump-jennings/index.html

I always love to see GOP analysis that pretends the 2018 vote never happened.  Please!  Continue to ignore it.

I suppose maybe the point here is that Republicans should misrepresent the positions of their opponents on healthcare and immigration in order to win elections, but I’m pretty sure they tried that in 2018 too.
Also have to laugh at this notion that anchoring a Democratic candidate to the extreme left of their party is a consideration that is unique to that side of the aisle.

The “president” and head of your party has a roughly 42% approval rating despite that “good economy,”

Its not being reported as a good economy

And voters polled arent being totally honest, as you know.

Explained it in '16.  Explains it now
It has been reported everywhere as a good economy. Honestly reported, which means pointing out the characteristic "greatest ever" Trumpian claims are bull shit and pointing out signs of.potential weakness, as now.

Pollsters are fully aware of and account for.the Bradley effect. That is why all the major polls in 2016 had Clinton's popular vote win within the margin of error.

7238
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 03:44:06 PM »
News Item

WASH­ING­TON—Amer­i­can shop­pers gave the U.S. econ­omy a solid boost in July, a counter to weak­ness in the man­u­fac­tur-ing sec­tor and Wall Street jit­ters about fal­ter­ing growth.
Re­tail sales, a mea­sure of pur­chases at stores, restau­rants and on­line, climbed a sea­son­ally ad­justed 0.7% in July from a month ear­lier, the Com­merce De­part­ment said Thurs­day.
The ro­bust re­port—the strong-est read­ing since March and a sign that Amer­i­can con­sumers re­main a source of fuel for the econ­omy—is a pos­i­tive sig­nal for the U.S. amid warn­ing signs of a global eco­nomic slow­down. U.S. stocks sta­bi­lized af­ter re­lease of the sales fig­ures.

Tax cuts, job and wage increases, as always, combine to boost the economy.

Lol.
For some reason, Red.ignored all of the "Consumer spending hides significant downturn in manufacturing during the first seven months of 2019" articles.

7239
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 01:22:05 PM »
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/14/politics/fact-check-kamala-harris-makes-false-claim-about-trump-and-auto-jobs/index.html

Harris' "700,000" figure relied on a previous Center for Automotive Research study, published in July 2018, that estimated a loss of more than 700,000 jobs if Trump imposed a 25% tariff on automobile and auto parts imports from every country. This estimate, too, was for all kinds of jobs, not autoworkers alone, and the Center for Automotive Research says it has been supplanted by the updated analysis in the February 2019 study.


Fake candidate
You Trump supporting hypocrite.

Trump wasn't my candidate

He just won.
Oh horse shit. And he is sure the Hell your candidate now.

7240
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 10:16:53 AM »
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/14/politics/fact-check-kamala-harris-makes-false-claim-about-trump-and-auto-jobs/index.html

Harris' "700,000" figure relied on a previous Center for Automotive Research study, published in July 2018, that estimated a loss of more than 700,000 jobs if Trump imposed a 25% tariff on automobile and auto parts imports from every country. This estimate, too, was for all kinds of jobs, not autoworkers alone, and the Center for Automotive Research says it has been supplanted by the updated analysis in the February 2019 study.


Fake candidate

A single instance of misrepresentation or misuse of study statistics makes someone a "fake candidate?"

But then in your view multiple such instances and telling frequent provable lies makes someone not only a qualified candidate, but praiseworthy as POTUS.

Or tell me what I have wrong.

Not forgiving Harris for this, mind you.  But the fact check file for Harris (or any of the Democratic candidates) is a single manila folder compared to Trump's Data Storage Center.

But of course if I posted a CNN fact-check on something Trump said or did you would call it fake news.  In fact, didn't that very thing happen just a few days ago?
Donald Trump continues to claim responsibility for the VA choice legislation Obama.signed into law in 2014. The number of times kid has called him a fake candidate for it can be counted.on Ivanka's testicles.

7241
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 15, 2019, 10:12:58 AM »
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/14/politics/fact-check-kamala-harris-makes-false-claim-about-trump-and-auto-jobs/index.html

Harris' "700,000" figure relied on a previous Center for Automotive Research study, published in July 2018, that estimated a loss of more than 700,000 jobs if Trump imposed a 25% tariff on automobile and auto parts imports from every country. This estimate, too, was for all kinds of jobs, not autoworkers alone, and the Center for Automotive Research says it has been supplanted by the updated analysis in the February 2019 study.


Fake candidate
You Trump supporting hypocrite.

7242
Football / Re: College Football
« on: August 14, 2019, 06:31:00 PM »
I understand "THE U" is planning to contest the trademark effort.

Wouldn't "A Ohio State University" at least be accurate?
No, it is officially "the ohio state university" by statute. The are known to insist on the the but are notably lax on the lower case.

7243
Football / Re: College Football
« on: August 14, 2019, 05:47:05 PM »
Getting the hate started early this year, I see.

7244
Baseball / Re: Major League Baseball
« on: August 14, 2019, 04:29:20 PM »
Looks like Cora woke up with a fucking idea
What, to have Dever.go 6 for 6 with four doubles?

7245
Previous Administration / Re: Trump Administration
« on: August 14, 2019, 10:28:56 AM »
When Trump took over the problems with the nation were—————

Now the nations problems include————

Still think he will nuke someone?

Heh
Every problem we had as a nation when Trump became president we still have. Some are much worse.

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