Do you think it matters? The current trial will not result in a criminal conviction for Trump, and his base already does not care that he is a fraud. The first Criminal trial does not start until the day before Super Tuesday. If he is eventually convicted he will long past sewn up the delegates for the nomination. Given the rules of nominating conventions, I believe Trump would have to withdraw to release his delegates on the first ballot. What do you think the odds of that happening are? Beyond the zero?
I have nothing but intuition that Trump won't make it. Haley will emerge as the antiTrump, he will continue his now very obvious and rapid physical and mental deterioration, and words will emerge his piehole, in court and in the campaign, that even MAGA loyalists won't be able to ignore. The convention will find some procedural method to gaffe him. Haley will provide the clearest contrast, and we will end up with the terrifying prospect of a Haley v Biden match. (well Luee won't be terrified, and will be applying motion lotion)
My intuition is frequently wrong, and I hope it is because I want to watch a Biden v Trump debate.
Barring Trump dropping dead if he has not been rejected while under four criminal indictments, having the brand he fabricated on the Apprentice revealed as fraud, about to be fined up to $250 million which he does not have, he will be nominee.
Biden will beat him handily because a reliable bloc of Republican voters, WHITE women (not racial, Yankguy, just facts) want their bodies back.
That should resound up and down the ballot because the GOP cannot grasp the fact no one wants any of the policies they are selling.
Problem is the GOP has no fucks to give about winning elections. Lose at the ballot box? Fix it in the legislature.
The violent Jan. 6, 2021, attack on Congress, meant to prevent the certification of President Biden election, was the clearest manifestation of this movement, but it has continued since then. Hundreds of elected Republican officials around the country falsely claim that the 2020 election was rigged. Some of them are running for statewide offices that would oversee future elections, potentially putting them in position to overturn an election in 2024 or beyond.https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html?unlocked_article_code=1.-0w.2rkF.Az22e1Du1caa&smid=url-share