There are two things to consider going into the CBA. One is that there may be a floor of $100 Million that ownership has to pay in salary. In combination with that, the luxury tax threshold would be lowered to enable smaller market teams to reach that $100 million mark.
So, if that and the universal DH end up in the CBA, then free agency will be quite interesting.
The other aspect to consider is that MLB is not in a good position with the fans if they end up locking out players, but that doesn't mean they won't.
So, we could end up with a lot of things going down in late March---a delayed opening, last minute deals with free agents, etc. The first hurdle is will they go to the Winter Meetings, because there is some concern that this will be cancelled.
The next hurdle in all of this will be, can the MLBPA, the owners, and the Commissioner's office keep their mouths closed, and just shut the door and get things done.
I am quite skeptical of that happening.