Ukraine will continue to kick Russian ass and suffer greatly for the obligation to do so.
If Putin wants to try a tactical nuke or a strike into NATO or possibly even pushes too far with long range air to ground stuff deployed for the first time onto Mariupol just recently, he can kiss goodby St. Petersburg and any major military or industrial site west of Moscow for a start while at the same time crippling Russian relations with China and the global south. That is not to say he will not do it, just that he has a lot to lose by doing so.
Germany is signing off on an EU embargo of Russian oil. Germany is also getting ready to pass a billion or so of its own Euros into supplying Ukrainian military power in addition to every thing else coming in.
I am curious to see if Russia commits more heavy equipment to Ukraine mud or if it tries to wait out the weather with what it reconstitutes and lets the forces still in Ukraine fend for themselves in the meanwhile.