https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/521053-poll-biden-leads-trump-by-7-points-nationwide
28% of independents in this poll undecided
That's a huge chunk - and likely a good portion of LEANS TRUMP in there.
Just keep ignoring the data, Kid.
And you keep ignoring the trends and 2016.
I quoted
your current preferred pollster, IBD/TIPP that said that they don't see 2016's model as applying to 2020.
That would be an example of the data that you are ignoring.
You talk about trend, but you are selective in what you will consider. Here's TIPP for the last 5 polls:
IBD/TIPP 10/19/2020 949 LV ±3.2% 50% 44% 2% 1% 3%
IBD/TIPP 10/18/2020 1,021 LV ±3.2% 50% 45% 2% 1% 2%
IBD/TIPP 10/17/2020 1,009 LV ±3.2% 50% 43% 2% 1% 4%
IBD/TIPP 10/16/2020 951 LV ±3.2% 49% 44% 3% 1% 3%
IBD/TIPP 10/15/2020 864 LV ±3.4% 50% 42% 2% 1%
Leads of 8, 5, 7, 5, 6 - all the changes within their margin of error.
Or in the two way, leads of 8, 6, 7, 6, 6.
Meanwhile, in one you don't like as much, USC, we see leads of 9.5 to 10.5 the first week of October. Then we see leads of 10.5 - 12.5 the second week of Oct. And for the last four days, it's been between 11.5 and 11.8, trending up in small increments.
In the last month, the Global Strategy group's polls read +11, +10, +8, +10.
I look at
everybody's trends, Kid, not just those I like.