It "puts Joe at just 262" because you have miraculously decided that he doesn't win MN or NV, but with no basis, while assuming Trump hangs onto AZ, FL, GA, and NC. Plus both NE-2 and ME-2.
No, I really havent.
I have it 258-236. Trump ahead.
What do you have?
279-193
MI, NV, PA, and WI + NE-2 all for Biden. Lots of undecideds.
I think that is 269
But I am sure you meant to add MN
MN is not particularly in doubt, except in your head and Trafalgar's. 9 point lead in 270towin and 10 over the last two days on 538. That RCP puts it at 4 is because of how restrictive (and self-serving) their selection is, not based on what the voters are saying.