Escape from Elba

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
Advanced search  

News:

Poll

Will all of the NFL teams make it through the whole season?

Yes
- 0 (0%)
No
- 1 (100%)

Total Members Voted: 1

Voting closed: October 22, 2020, 02:04:36 PM


Pages: 1 ... 177 178 [179] 180

Author Topic: National Football League  (Read 71748 times)

bankshot1

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3801
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2670 on: November 20, 2020, 09:32:35 PM »

The gap between 50-53-55% is IMMENSE

Yes it is.

The difference pays the house

50% is what the average dolt should get picking randomly.

with the vig the average dolt needs 53% to break-even.

55% gets you into the house money

You lost $1500 so far at 47%.

You're the rube at the table.

You're paying the house's rent.



TFF
« Last Edit: November 20, 2020, 09:34:27 PM by bankshot1 »
Logged

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2671 on: November 20, 2020, 09:43:41 PM »

An ENTIRE SLATE - 250+ games - at 55% vs the spread?  Please.  That's epic.
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2672 on: November 20, 2020, 09:59:40 PM »

39 of the top 71 handicappers this year are under 55% - and they only have to pick their top 2 games each week
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

josh

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10866
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2673 on: November 20, 2020, 10:00:37 PM »

An ENTIRE SLATE - 250+ games - at 55% vs the spread?  Please.  That's epic.

And self-reported.

I'm told Trump won a huge victory, too, Kid.
Logged
The day Richard Nixon failed to answer that subpoena is the day he was subject to impeachment because he took the power from Congress over the impeachment process away from Congress, and he became the judge and jury." ~Lindsey Graham

bankshot1

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3801
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2674 on: November 20, 2020, 10:39:41 PM »

An ENTIRE SLATE - 250+ games - at 55% vs the spread?  Please.  That's epic.

That would be above average (50% and slightly into the money)

And your 47% through week 10 is below average and has produced a loss of around $1500.

If I use your demonstrated 25 years of incompetence in sports handicapping as a guide I would say its improbably you would pick 55% for a full season.

and you are lying.

Though given enough years and enough monkeys and enough typewriters a monkey will eventually type Romeo & Juliet.

If I were to draw a normal distribution of 71 anythings, 35 would be above and 35 below the mean.

Your 39 # tells me little of your select universe of 71 handicappers.

Were 32 of the top 71 above 55% but hundreds of non-top handicappers between 40 and 50%?

You've presented meaningless #s. 

If you are insinuating you are a top handicapper, you are not.

Not remotely close.

You do not have the skills.

You're just a monkey banging at a typewriter.
Logged

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2675 on: November 20, 2020, 10:53:47 PM »

It would be very tough without working at it.
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

bankshot1

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3801
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2676 on: November 20, 2020, 11:26:55 PM »

It would be very tough without working at it.

I know.

But diligence alone is not enough.

And it explains in part your below average handicapping skills and poor results,
Logged

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2677 on: November 20, 2020, 11:55:04 PM »

Just 1 example  - finding out Russ was 8-1 on Thursday nights - now 9-1 - after the game ended.

Thinking on the given numbers does not guarantee success of course as many pros show each week/year

I pick the games quite quickly and for fun.  And you play your role - in a need to diminish it as much as you can. 

Fail.
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

bankshot1

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3801
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2678 on: November 21, 2020, 12:17:43 AM »

Just 1 example  - finding out Russ was 8-1 on Thursday nights - now 9-1 - after the game ended.

Thinking on the given numbers does not guarantee success of course as many pros show each week/year

I pick the games quite quickly and for fun.  And you play your role - in a need to diminish it as much as you can. 

Fail.

Kid I bust your balls because you serially misrepresent and lie about your picks and have for years.

if you could own your mistakes no one would begrudge you your wins.

But you can't.

You're too weak to admit your mistakes.

Its obvious you pick games quickly and without much thought or analysis.

It is just a game, but you applied $ to your picks and presented as if you were smart money.

But that wasn't close to true.

You are not Sam Ace Rothstein nor Jimmy the Greek

Just Timmy the very weak and stupid.
Logged

Kam

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2970
  • '77er
    • View Profile
Should remove this forum.
« Reply #2679 on: November 21, 2020, 12:22:58 AM »

Zero analysis of the games.  100% analysis of kid's picks.
Logged
The Liquidsilver Project

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2680 on: November 21, 2020, 03:07:27 PM »

Kam - you are a Giants fan, right?  Why so shy?
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

Kam

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2970
  • '77er
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2681 on: November 21, 2020, 03:14:01 PM »

I post Giants stuff mainly in the Giants forum.
Logged
The Liquidsilver Project

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2682 on: November 22, 2020, 09:23:07 AM »

Contest scores

Week 11

11/19 8:20 ET Seattle -3 Cardinals 58              28-31     L

11/22 1:00 ET Cleveland -3.5 Eagles 48         24-17
11/22 1:00 ET New Orleans -5 Falcons 51       27-21
11/22 1:00 ET Carolina -3 Lions 49              28-24
11/22 1:00 ET Patriots -2 Houston 48           24-21
11/22 1:00 ET Steelers -10 Jacksonville 47.5        31-20
11/22 1:00 ET Washington -1.5 Bengals 46.5        24-27   
11/22 1:00 ET Baltimore -6.5 Titans 49          24-20

11/22 4:05 ET LA Chargers -9 Jets 47               31-17
11/22 4:05 ET Dolphins -5.5 Denver 45        23-21
11/22 4:25 ET Indianapolis -2.5 Packers 51.5        27-31
11/22 4:25 ET Minnesota -7.5 Cowboys 48          27-17
11/22 8:20 ET Chiefs -6.5 Las Vegas 57           27-24

11/23 8:15 ET Tampa Bay -3.5 Rams 47.5         21-24
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

kidcarter8

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1860
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2683 on: November 22, 2020, 11:10:23 AM »

Parlay -

Titans, Chargers, Rams
Logged
Rest in peace, Ethan Williams

UNO

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2342
  • Democracy beats Autocracy. Always.
    • View Profile
Re: National Football League
« Reply #2684 on: November 22, 2020, 04:38:33 PM »

Eagles lose. NFC East tightens up.

heh
Logged
"Negroes Are Anti-Semitic Because They're Anti-White" ---James Baldwin
Pages: 1 ... 177 178 [179] 180