Daily new deaths on the 7 day rolling average are down to 594.
Three months ago (and 3 days), Kid wondered whether we could get this virus to "act more like the flu."
I then shared Swine Flu numbers with him - it killed more than 225,000 in 335 days. At this point in the swine flu (okay, 3 days), it had killed almost 44,000. I observed that if we kept the numbers we saw in late March from climbing, but not reduced either, we would see 128,000 at the end of May.
We knocked them down - we hit 128,000 at the end of June, instead - only two months faster than the Swine Flu. By the end of July we will know if we are doing better than the 1918 pandemic. We might be - it is not causing the same kind of abrupt deaths that 1918 saw, except for diabetics.
But a week after the IHME prediction of 179k at October 1, we already have 3,000 more dead than their model had us at on June 27th.