I'd be putting a lot of effort on Florida, while shoring up Michigan and PA.
Yes, I got you.
Ignore than embedded in my last 8 and 12 elections are the last 5 elections (aka twenty years), unlike FL (2-2-1)
Ignore the
current data, too, already posted and cited, where Bigen has a 3% larger lead.
Ignore that the
current governor is a Democrat, unlike in Florida, where they've been Republican for more than 20 consecutive years.
Ignore that the more recently elected US Senator is a Democrat, unlike in Florida, where both are GOP, with most recently an incumbent Dem got beaten.
I expect efforts aplenty will be made in all four states you mention and Arizona, too, where I think the chances are better than in Florida, based on current polling and their senate race, where Kelly may improve Biden's chances instead of the other way around.