In potentially good news:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/health/ihme-updated-covid19-model/index.htmlModel predicts that
only 82,000 will have died as of 4 months from now.
I think that's a bizarre conclusion, given that we have 1,300 dying per day at the moment, with a 35% death rate among resolved cases - granting that that is only the cases that we know about, but 35% among the cases we know about by itself blows that 82k number out of the water. So does the 1,300 dying per day. (At 1,300 per day, that would be more than 50,000 dead by the end of April, alone, and our overall trend is up, not down, in deaths per day.)
ETA: We'll be at 400,000 verified positive cases by the end of the day today. 35% of that would be 140,000 dead. And we're adding 30,000+ new cases daily. Nothing in these models explains where this big slowdown is going to come from. And there are the reports from coroners that our death toll is
low compared to how many are really dying from the coronavirus.
But still, it's something... a straw to cling to. Maybe they imagine that all of us singing Sweet Caroline will help.