I wrote the post below on March 24th, after our 82nd day, on which our death total equalled the Swine Flu (2009-10) death total from Day 138.
We are two weeks after that, just about two weeks and a day. Day 97. Our death total is just shy of 80,000. The Swine Flu crossed 80k on Day 241. It took them 73 days. It took COVID-19
fifteen days to see the same increase.
In the next week, we are going to eclipse another
month of swine flu deaths, passing the 125,000 mark, Day 274 for them, Day 104 for us.
You complained, Kid, that I don't know what's going to happen, so I should stop posting projections. I don't
know but my extrapolations so far are spot on. (Okay, I have missed by a day one way or the other, sometimes.)
I just hope to be very very wrong within the next 2 or 3 weeks, and therefore in the next 6 months, as well. And you just can't fathom that desire.
https://imgur.com/t/the_more_you_know/jfeONpT?fbclid=IwAR21chTDB1M5EpNsmtDF9iM3DMfIuoiFX9eQbAU6Ix-4v8xk19HVdV8kYFw
Exactly
As Trump said today - "it's like nothing anyone has ever seen"
But as Oz said - "maybe we can get it to act more like the flu"
We'll see starting this week.
I edited my post with this analysis:
It stops for COVID-19 on March 18th.
Going into 3/23, we're at 14,638 dead, which is Day 82 to Day 83. The Swine Flu of 2009-2010 doesn't hit that many dead until Day 138 (14,571).
Day 138 for us is going to be May 17th.
So, Kid...
Do you want to bet whether COVID-19 still ahead of the Swine Flu pace by the end of May, when it's Day 152 and the SF was up to 23,129 dead?
The end of June (Day 182), when the SF was up to 43,628?
Day 213 (what will be the end of July for us) saw that the Swine Flu had tapered off - a mere 59,367 had died.
Day 244 (our end of August) was at 83,472, having picked up again, with a vengeance.
Day 274 (our end of September) was at 125,881.
...
(post trimmed for sake of brevity)