Projections - 9 of them - for where the US death count from the virus is going to go over the next few weeks. They don't all go the same length of time.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/?ex_cid=rrpromoIHME, which used to consistently underestimate is overestimating by a couple thousand as of Saturday's eod total.
Everybody else's average is low, with 3 of them having an upper end that may yet be low, not just their average. We'll be closer to 106k deceased than 105k, and maybe over it. If the last couple Saturdays are a guide, we'll be just below.
The lowest average for a month from yesterday is 120k. Predicting 17k dead in the next 30 days is pretty bold and I think their model is just wrong about that. It's range is 111-134,000. Still, that would be averaging below 600 per day and we've seen a figure below 600. Maybe two.
The highest average is IHME, though they get passed a week later. IHME thinks 132k as does the Youyang Gu model, but IHME's has a far bigger range: 113-173k vs. 114-161k.
UTexas has a far tighter model that ends a week earlier - 122-125k, with an average of 124,000 on June 20. Their average is almost exactly the average of the top and bottom models.