The outstanding nationwide, not including the 5 or six states still plowing through announced numbers, fall into 3 main batches
Provisional Ballots
Expat
Overseas military
Among the troops trump hasn’t helped himself, but he might get parity.
Expat is negligible but shifts blue
Provisional ballots tend to in balance cure 25-30% of typical GOP disenfranchisement efforts.
For those seats called GOP on a knife edge, Biden still has gravity. When you float on bullshit, gravity sucks you down.