Good news, then sobering news:
The number of daily new cases and daily deaths continue to drop. We're seeing the drop globally, too. Deaths are now back to pre-Christmas levels. And we've had new cases down below 100,000 on a couple occasions.
OTOH, on Monday or early Tuesday we will pass 500,000 dead from COVID-19, at a minimum (despite what liars like Ward say). And even with the reduced rate of deaths and assuming no uptick, we expect another 100,000 dead by June 1. (If it takes that long, I will consider us fortunate. I think we are more likely to cross the 600,000 level more than a month before that - but it beats our getting there by April 1, which was the trajectory we had been on!
I am very glad that the dip projected by folks like IHME, delayed though it was, has come to pass and that I was wrong about its happening at all if right that it wasn't in the cards at that time. May I be wrong on the continued rate, as well.
Poll
