Bets?
Affirmative Action as a policy will be given to a long awaited death penalty now that Barrett is on SCOTUS.
And the biggest beneficiaries will be blacks.
I won't bet against you on the first part, but evidence from California already suggests you are dead wrong on the second, so I'll put $10 on that.
My proposed standard of measurement
would be percentage of Blacks enrolled in top law schools 4 years after the change, assuming no change to reverse the decision by Congress/Biden before that.
Which proves nothing.
Of course college minority enrollments might tick up, that’s the easy part.
But if you are serious about effects of Affirmative Action I suggest you read
The Upswing co-written by a Harvard political science professor and a Harvard graduate, two people who hardly reflect conservative viewpoints nor contribute to right-wing websites.
In its earliest iteration, affirmative action in practice meant outreach to low-income blacks. It was argued that the policy was necessary to compensate for past injustices and would one day no longer be necessary. Over time, however , quotas and set-asides replaced simple outreach, and racial double-standards in college admissions were defended on grounds that they enhanced “diversity” on campus.
The “progress toward equality for black Americans didn’t begin in 1965, by By many measures, blacks were moving toward parity with whites well before the victories of the Civil Rights revoLuton , despite the limita-tions imposed by Jim Crow. Moreover, after the Civil Rights movement, that long-standing trend toward racial equality slowed, stopped, and even reversed.
In the 1940s and ’50s, black-white gaps were not only shrinking in income, educational attainment, homeownership rates and other measures. The gaps were shrinking at unprecedented rates that have never been repeated, even during the subsequent era of affirmative action.
If anything, the evidence shows that racial preferences have coincided with slower black upward mobility. After the University of California system ended its race-conscious admissions policies in the 1990s, black graduation rates rose.!!!!!!!!
A policy intended to increase the size of the black middle class was in practice limiting its growth.
It would be difficult to identify a government program coming out of the 1960s that did more to help blacks than what blacks were doing to help themselves before the program.
The Upswing: How America Came Together a Century Ago and How We Can Do It Again
Book by Robert D. Putnam and Shaylyn Romney Garrett