But I do believe Trump will still be president for another 4 years.
By hook or by crook. Maybe especially by crook.
He has his supporters who
A) Will vote Trump no matter what
B) Will try to suppress the vote
C) Will occupy D.C. regardless of the outcome of the election, claiming widespread Voter FRAUD etc..
I do not see how there is a peaceful transition of power.
America is not a democracy any more.
The electoral college always made a mockery of that notion, and now the rabid Trump base will put that notion to rest permanently.
If Trump loses the Electoral College, then I would bet on a peaceful transition of power, whether or not Trump wants one, because this week he lost all chance of having the military support his remaining in power after his term is up. Without them, he is screwed if he tried to overthrow the constitution.
Military occupation was never the play. Giving congressional Republicans enough cover to claim a disputed election is the play. Then having
enough control over the military apparatus that its paralyzed. Who is going to remove Trump if he refuses to concede and Republicans in Congress say "Yeah, there was a lot of fraud..."
This is why he is out in front calling mail-in ballots fraudulent. Its not only because he wants to suppress their use. He wants to invalidate an election in which they will be the deciding factor.